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Think tank founder spied for China

Drs. Klaus Lange and Klara Knapp, alleged spies for China, from a photo published by https://cppr.in.

According to the AP, in July, German authorities arrested the head of a think tank, Dr. Klaus L., on espionage charges. They allege that he passed secrets gained through his high-level political contacts, to a Chinese intelligence service, in exchange for money. His wife, Klara K., was also arrested, according to a later AP article.

This arrangement allegedly began in 2010, when they were recruited during a lecture trip to Shanghai.

Dr. Klaus may have been a double-agent, according to the SCPM, working for German intelligence for many years prior to recruitment by the Chinese.

Update: The Times (UK) identified the accused spy as Dr. Klaus Lange, founder of the Institute for Transnational Studies (ITS), a consultancy based in Landshut, Bavaria. His wife appears to be Dr. Klara Knapp, also of ITS.

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China Current events International affairs US

When will China invade Taiwan? How about January 18, 2021?

A former US admiral 1 and a former acting CIA director 2 have just presented an imaginary scenario in which Mainland China retakes Taiwan in the early days of 2021.

Short version? Under pressure at home due to the trade war with the US and Covid-19 and sensing that the US is maximally distracted by its own domestic troubles, Chinese leader Xi Jin Ping plans and executes an invasion of Taiwan on January 18, 2021, the day of the next US presidential inauguration. The US and the rest of the world are caught off guard, and by the time they are in a position to respond militarily, Taiwan has already capitulated.

You can read a summary in “China Can Capture Taiwan in Three Days, Say Former US Officials,” printed in Forbes, or you can read the essay itself, “The War That Never Was,” in Proceedings magazine of the US Naval Institute.

  1. Admiral James A. Winnefeld, U.S. Navy (Retired)
  2. Michael J. Morell

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China Civilization Current events Economics History International affairs US Politics

Interesting books about China

Everything Under the Heavens: How the Past Helps Shape China’s Push for Global Power, by Howard W. French

Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap?, by Graham Allison

Crashback: The Power Clash Between the U.S. and China in the Pacific, by Michael Fabey